Keith Dahl
Elio Addict
FORT VANCOUVER HIGH SCHOOL. SWORN ENEMY TO HUDSONS BAY HGH SCHOOL
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- Thread starter karl
- Start date
2ndrew
Elio Aficionado
So, how many people investing actually read through the Offering Circular? I want to buy my 50 shares, but I am having a hard time seeing how it will increase in value, or if I'll ever be able to sell them.
I'm all in on the car, er.. autocycle, and I am very hopeful we will actually get them, but for some reason I am not as sure on the stock offering.
Are you all investing for the novelty and the idea of purchasing stock will help make Elio viable? Or does anyone actually expect to make money off this investment?
I'm all in on the car, er.. autocycle, and I am very hopeful we will actually get them, but for some reason I am not as sure on the stock offering.
Are you all investing for the novelty and the idea of purchasing stock will help make Elio viable? Or does anyone actually expect to make money off this investment?
Keith Dahl
Elio Addict
I do
You always make money, at least indirectly, off the performance of the company. What are their opportunities? You are wadgering that they will make it via the primary product sales, --or-- the options aftermarket, the expanding into other markets such as over seas, -or- the possible inclusion of alternative products such as EV's --or-- a more targeted product such as sporty or up-class channels.
Consider if you believe these will play well to the public. If so the stock value will be strong.
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Making money is not the reason to invest in Elio Motors. Elio Motors specifically states that it's high risk investing with no guarantee there will even be an autocycle manufactured let alone after market option sales. If you invest feel good about it and be able to afford a potential loss. Hopefully, there is a successful outcome for all investors and non-investors alike.
slinches
Elio Addict
This is the reason I'm investing (everything below is opinion and not investment advice):
If Elio Motors can successfully get to production and have sales anywhere close to their projections (and reservation interest makes that seem likely. I'm guessing somewhere close to 50%), then the stock value should easily be worth 5-10x (4-9x ROI) in a year or two. If not, I lose my investment. The way to know if it makes sense to make such a risky investment is via the following equation.
If ROI x probability of success > 1 it is a sound investment. (per my estimate of these numbers for EM: 4 x 0.5 = 2)
The way venture capital works is to find investments where that value is highest (even when risk is high) and just keep at it. It will eventually pay off as long as your estimates are accurate, even if most of the bets turn out to be a complete loss.
This is one of the first opportunities for those of us who don't meet the "accredited investor" criteria to play this game and I'm glad to be a part of it whether this investment succeeds or not. Though, I hope we all do succeed. I really want to drive around in my, effectively free, Elio bought with the proceeds of this investment.
If Elio Motors can successfully get to production and have sales anywhere close to their projections (and reservation interest makes that seem likely. I'm guessing somewhere close to 50%), then the stock value should easily be worth 5-10x (4-9x ROI) in a year or two. If not, I lose my investment. The way to know if it makes sense to make such a risky investment is via the following equation.
If ROI x probability of success > 1 it is a sound investment. (per my estimate of these numbers for EM: 4 x 0.5 = 2)
The way venture capital works is to find investments where that value is highest (even when risk is high) and just keep at it. It will eventually pay off as long as your estimates are accurate, even if most of the bets turn out to be a complete loss.
This is one of the first opportunities for those of us who don't meet the "accredited investor" criteria to play this game and I'm glad to be a part of it whether this investment succeeds or not. Though, I hope we all do succeed. I really want to drive around in my, effectively free, Elio bought with the proceeds of this investment.
karl
Elio Addict
OK so I invested some cash in Elio Motors. Now I do own a tiny piece of the company. No I don't expect this to finance my retirement. More a down payment on a dream. Most of my dreams never paid out, others way beyond my expectations. Looking forward to driving this one into tomorrow.